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Friday, 14 August 2026 · LondonENع
Rayan Azhari.Sustainability · Energy · Carbon · Built EnvironmentOccasional detours into philosophy, religion or programming, wherever curiosity leads
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The Deflated Sharpe Ratio: Why Your Grid-Search Winner Is Probably Noise

The expected best Sharpe of a parameter sweep climbs as the grid grows, even when every strategy in it is worthless. Here is the deflated Sharpe ratio explained as a practitioner sees it, with a small N to noise-ceiling lookup table you can apply to your own sweep tonight, and the one rule that killed my proudest grid-search winner: N is the pool, not the podium.

By Rayan Azhari · 9 min read · Essays
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